Updates
So I found another data set that records the average number of days the ICU beds were used in each hospital for each CA county. I figured it would be a good idea to use that to calculate how many ICU beds would be available. I calculated the average number of days each bed was reported used over the past 10 years, converted that to the average number of beds occupied at any time, then subtracted that from the the total number of ICU beds. I don’t expect it to have a big impact. And oddly small number of ICU beds are usually in use but I guess you overbuild capacity so you always have enough room; it’s probably very hard to move someone in such critical condition that they need an ICU bed. Here’s the raw data:
| County | Average_Bed_Days_year | Average_beds_in_use |
| Alameda | 1743 | 4 |
| Amador | 1095 | 3 |
| Butte | 1336 | 3 |
| Calaveras | 1460 | 4 |
| Colusa | 1095 | 3 |
| Contra Costa | 2667 | 7 |
| Del Norte | 1095 | 3 |
| El Dorado | 975 | 2 |
| Fresno | 1704 | 4 |
| Glenn | 0 | 0 |
| Humboldt | 567 | 1 |
| Imperial | 2556 | 7 |
| Inyo | 395 | 1 |
| Kern | 1739 | 4 |
| Kings | 1082 | 2 |
| Lake | 793 | 2 |
| Lassen | 0 | 0 |
| Los Angeles | 3162 | 8 |
| Madera | 3827 | 10 |
| Marin | 1188 | 3 |
| Mariposa | 0 | 0 |
| Mendocino | 812 | 2 |
| Merced | 1289 | 3 |
| Modoc | 0 | 0 |
| Mono | 365 | 1 |
| Monterey | 1391 | 3 |
| Napa | 1592 | 4 |
| Nevada | 730 | 2 |
| Orange | 2870 | 7 |
| Placer | 2468 | 6 |
| Plumas | 0 | 0 |
| Riverside | 2349 | 6 |
| Sacramento | 3037 | 8 |
| San Benito | 730 | 2 |
| San Bernardino | 3218 | 8 |
| San Diego | 2906 | 7 |
| San Francisco | 2963 | 8 |
| San Joaquin | 1555 | 4 |
| San Luis Obispo | 1307 | 3 |
| San Mateo | 1836 | 5 |
| Santa Barbara | 1112 | 3 |
| Santa Clara | 3745 | 10 |
| Santa Cruz | 593 | 1 |
| Shasta | 2319 | 6 |
| Sierra | 0 | 0 |
| Siskiyou | 730 | 2 |
| Solano | 1761 | 4 |
| Sonoma | 1250 | 3 |
| Stanislaus | 2056 | 5 |
| Sutter | 275 | 0 |
| Tehama | 1460 | 4 |
| Trinity | 0 | 0 |
| Tulare | 1945 | 5 |
| Tuolumne | 722 | 1 |
| Ventura | 1369 | 3 |
| Yolo | 1278 | 3 |
| Yuba | 4382 | 12 |
Data Updates
The big story are the mountains and the Bay. The Bay is getting worse and worse, especially San Mateo, Santa Cruz, and Marin. The mountains are also bright red, which is odd but not especially worrying. There’s very few ICUs in the mountains, so only a dozen cases can overwhelm a county, but I would have thought such a relatively remote area would have avoided more of the outbreak.
Map
Data
| County | Percent Capacity Used | #Available ICU Beds | Coronavirus Cases | Estimated Hospitalizations |
| Mono | 190% | 1 | 19 | 1.9 |
| San Benito | 115% | 2 | 23 | 2.3 |
| Alpine | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0.1 |
| Glenn | 100% | 0 | 2 | 0.2 |
| Plumas | 100% | 0 | 3 | 0.3 |
| Sutter | 100% | 0 | 16 | 1.6 |
| San Mateo | 59.1% | 91 | 538 | 53.8 |
| Nevada | 51.7% | 6 | 31 | 3.1 |
| Santa Cruz | 51.7% | 12 | 62 | 6.2 |
| Marin | 50.7% | 27 | 137 | 13.7 |
| Yolo | 33.6% | 11 | 37 | 3.7 |
| Inyo | 33.3% | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| Santa Clara | 26.8% | 428 | 1148 | 114.8 |
| Imperial | 26.2% | 21 | 55 | 5.5 |
| Los Angeles | 24.9% | 2137 | 5325 | 532.5 |
| Monterey | 23% | 27 | 62 | 6.2 |
| San Joaquin | 22.2% | 86 | 191 | 19.1 |
| Santa Barbara | 22.1% | 76 | 168 | 16.8 |
| Contra Costa | 21.8% | 162 | 353 | 35.3 |
| San Luis Obispo | 20.7% | 45 | 93 | 9.3 |
| San Diego | 20.2% | 598 | 1209 | 120.9 |
| Placer | 19.4% | 52 | 101 | 10.1 |
| Alameda | 18.7% | 287 | 537 | 53.7 |
| Tulare | 18.7% | 60 | 112 | 11.2 |
| Riverside | 17.9% | 372 | 665 | 66.5 |
| Humboldt | 17.6% | 25 | 44 | 4.4 |
| Ventura | 16.9% | 120 | 203 | 20.3 |
| San Francisco | 16.6% | 318 | 529 | 52.9 |
| Sonoma | 15.2% | 69 | 105 | 10.5 |
| Kern | 13.6% | 151 | 205 | 20.5 |
| Orange | 12.9% | 607 | 786 | 78.6 |
| Merced | 12.9% | 21 | 27 | 2.7 |
| Sacramento | 10.6% | 368 | 390 | 39 |
| Amador | 10% | 3 | 3 | 0.3 |
| Calaveras | 10% | 4 | 4 | 0.4 |
| Solano | 9.4% | 78 | 73 | 7.3 |
| El Dorado | 8.5% | 26 | 22 | 2.2 |
| San Bernardino | 7.8% | 478 | 372 | 37.2 |
| Yuba | 7.5% | 12 | 9 | 0.9 |
| Stanislaus | 7.5% | 87 | 65 | 6.5 |
| Fresno | 7.1% | 145 | 103 | 10.3 |
| Colusa | 6.7% | 3 | 2 | 0.2 |
| Del Norte | 6.7% | 3 | 2 | 0.2 |
| Madera | 6.7% | 42 | 28 | 2.8 |
| Siskiyou | 5% | 6 | 3 | 0.3 |
| Napa | 4.5% | 44 | 20 | 2 |
| Mendocino | 2.9% | 14 | 4 | 0.4 |
| Butte | 2.5% | 44 | 11 | 1.1 |
| Kings | 2.5% | 20 | 5 | 0.5 |
| Tehama | 2.5% | 4 | 1 | 0.1 |
| Tuolumne | 2% | 5 | 1 | 0.1 |
| Shasta | 1.9% | 64 | 12 | 1.2 |
| Lake | 0% | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Lassen | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mariposa | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Modoc | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sierra | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trinity | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |